Analysis
Pieces
DECODING: Sixty days to seal it all: the U.S.-Iran road map
On June 21, 2026, the mediators involved in U.S.-Iran talks announced that both parties had accepted a road map aimed at reaching a final…
DECODING: Tanks in Taipei: the five-day exercise preparing for the unthinkable
Military tanks patrolling the streets of Taipei. To an uninformed observer, the image might evoke a coup d'état or an occupation. In reality, it…
ANALYSIS: The 1260H list: how Beijing is arming the economic war for Taiwan
On June 26, 2026, the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) published its update on the China-Taiwan situation with information of considerable strategic…
ANALYSIS: Anchorage, Istanbul, MFA: the Kremlin's three maximalist mantras
There is a constant in Vladimir Putin's diplomacy since the start of the full-scale war: the objectives have never changed, only the vocabulary adapts…
DECODING: Istanbul 2022: why Putin's peace is capitulation
On June 23, 2026, Vladimir Putin declared that Russia was "ready to negotiate" with Ukraine — on the basis of the Istanbul agreements of…
ANALYSIS: Oil embargo: why the Baltics are pressing a too-slow EU
Latvia, Estonia, and Lithuania share direct or very close borders with Russia and its militarized extension, Belarus. These three EU and NATO member nations…
DECODING: Structural exhaustion — what the Kiel Institute report really says
The Kiel Institute — the Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW), based in Germany — is one of Europe's most reputable economic research…
ANALYSIS: Eighty billion in deficit — Putin's deadly arithmetic
The Kremlin has spent four years insisting that the Russian economy was holding up against Western sanctions with remarkable vitality. State-aligned newspapers published growth…
ANALYSIS: Latvia alerts — drones and missiles, the hybrid war has already begun
Latvia is not a country that cries wolf. It is a NATO and European Union member state, with a civil intelligence service — the…