Analysis
Pieces
DECODING: Russian provocation in the Baltics — the scenario NATO dreads
For months, this possibility had been circulating in the hallways of Western defense ministries — whispered, never officially stated, for fear of rattling markets…
ANALYSIS: Quadrupling shells — the West's industrial lag laid bare
When NATO's Deputy Supreme Allied Commander, General Christopher Stringer, publicly calls for a fourfold increase in 155mm shell production ahead of the Ankara summit…
DECODING: Five percent of GDP — the figure redefining Western defense
Ten years ago, discussions about defense spending within NATO revolved around a target that the majority of members were not meeting: 2% of GDP.…
DECODING: Why Moscow's refinery won't reopen before 2027
The agency Reuters, cited by Militarnyi on June 24, 2026, published an unambiguous assessment: the Moscow refinery, located in the Kapotnya district, is unlikely…
ANALYSIS: Drones over Ufa: the 1,300-km strike that changes the calculus of the Russian war
On June 25, 2026, Ukrainian drones flew more than 1,300 kilometers to strike Ufa, the capital of Bashkortostan, deep inside the Urals. Two of…
ANALYSIS: Belarus, Armed Vassal: How Lukashenko Became Russia's Launchpad Against NATO
Alexander Lukashenko's Belarus is no longer a neutral state wedged between Russia and the European Union. It is a Russian military operations base disguised…
DECODING: The Ankara Gamble: Turning The Hague's Promises into Real Tanks, Shells and Missiles
On July 7 and 8, 2026, the leaders of NATO member states will gather at the presidential Beştepe Palace in Ankara, Turkey. This summit…
ANALYSIS: The Refinery War: How Ukraine Is Turning Russian Oil Into an Achilles' Heel
On June 25, 2026, Ukrainian drones traveled more than 1,300 kilometers to strike the Bashneft refineries in Ufa, in the Bashkortostan region, hitting two…
DECODING: Two Years of the Moscow-Pyongyang Treaty: the Axis of Authoritarians Fueling War in Europe
On June 22, 2026, North Korea marked the second anniversary of the mutual defense treaty with Russia, signed with great ceremony in Pyongyang during…