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Russia

The Kremlin, the war, power balances, and the fractures rising to the surface.
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DECODING: MFF 2028, Russian Sanctions 12 Months — The European Council Faces Its Choices
Analysis· No. 798

DECODING: MFF 2028, Russian Sanctions 12 Months — The European Council Faces Its Choices

The European Council of June 18-19, 2026 will be remembered not for its spectacle but for its decisions. Two in particular stand out. First:…

DECODING: Lavrov Says No — Why Moscow Sabotages Every Peace Attempt
Analysis· No. 791

DECODING: Lavrov Says No — Why Moscow Sabotages Every Peace Attempt

Since Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, Sergei Lavrov has mastered a particular art: the elaborate diplomatic refusal. Not a…

REPORT: Ukraine-Russia, Summer 2026 — the Attrition Moscow Is Losing but Refuses to Acknowledge
Reportage· No. 789

REPORT: Ukraine-Russia, Summer 2026 — the Attrition Moscow Is Losing but Refuses to Acknowledge

In the direction of Kostyantynivka, in the Donbas, Russian forces absorb approximately 53 casualties per day for territorial gains limited to minor group infiltrations.…

OPEN LETTER: To Those Who Still Doubted Ukraine Could Build a War Industry
Open letter· No. 783

OPEN LETTER: To Those Who Still Doubted Ukraine Could Build a War Industry

To you, European policymakers, skeptical journalists, experts who spent two years repeating that Ukraine lacked the industrial capacity to sustain a prolonged war of…

INVESTIGATION: Venezuelan Oil Under Custody — How Moscow and Beijing Are Locking In the Post-Maduro Era
Investigation· No. 773

INVESTIGATION: Venezuelan Oil Under Custody — How Moscow and Beijing Are Locking In the Post-Maduro Era

On January 3, 2026, U.S. special forces captured Nicolás Maduro under a federal arrest warrant for narco-terrorism. Within hours, Delcy Rodríguez became acting president…

DECODING: Kostyantynivka — How Moscow Manufactures Victories With AI and Lies
Analysis· No. 770

DECODING: Kostyantynivka — How Moscow Manufactures Victories With AI and Lies

On June 23, 2026, Russian President Vladimir Putin claimed during a public statement that Russian forces are advancing on all fronts and "practically reaching"…

OPINION: Russia claims to have shot down 660 drones in one night — who can still believe these figures?
Note· No. 763

OPINION: Russia claims to have shot down 660 drones in one night — who can still believe these figures?

In the night of June 25 to 26, 2026, the Russian Ministry of Defence announced it had shot down 660 Ukrainian drones in a…

COMMENTARY: Ukraine strikes Moscow where it hurts most — the economy and the prestige
Commentary· No. 755

COMMENTARY: Ukraine strikes Moscow where it hurts most — the economy and the prestige

In the night of June 17 to 18, 2026, nearly 200 Ukrainian drones targeted Moscow and its surrounding region, triggering one of the most…

ESSAY: The North Korean 155mm howitzer and the war of attrition — Pyongyang arms Putin for eternity
Essay· No. 748

ESSAY: The North Korean 155mm howitzer and the war of attrition — Pyongyang arms Putin for eternity

On June 25, 2026, North Korean leader Kim Jong-un personally oversaw a series of weapons tests whose results were broadcast by the official KCNA…

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