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DECODING: Two years of the Moscow-Pyongyang treaty: the axis of authoritarians
On June 22, 2024, Vladimir Putin landed in Pyongyang and set his signature alongside Kim Jong-un's on a mutual defense treaty. Two years later,…
DECODING: Sixty days to seal it all: the U.S.-Iran road map
On June 21, 2026, the mediators involved in U.S.-Iran talks announced that both parties had accepted a road map aimed at reaching a final…
DECODING: Tanks in Taipei: the five-day exercise preparing for the unthinkable
Military tanks patrolling the streets of Taipei. To an uninformed observer, the image might evoke a coup d'état or an occupation. In reality, it…
ANALYSIS: The 1260H list: how Beijing is arming the economic war for Taiwan
On June 26, 2026, the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) published its update on the China-Taiwan situation with information of considerable strategic…
ANALYSIS: Anchorage, Istanbul, MFA: the Kremlin's three maximalist mantras
There is a constant in Vladimir Putin's diplomacy since the start of the full-scale war: the objectives have never changed, only the vocabulary adapts…
DECODING: Istanbul 2022: why Putin's peace is capitulation
On June 23, 2026, Vladimir Putin declared that Russia was "ready to negotiate" with Ukraine — on the basis of the Istanbul agreements of…
ANALYSIS: Oil embargo: why the Baltics are pressing a too-slow EU
Latvia, Estonia, and Lithuania share direct or very close borders with Russia and its militarized extension, Belarus. These three EU and NATO member nations…
OPINION: Four to five trillion rubles more — Moscow burns its future
Allow me to begin with a number that should shock more than it does in Western media: Russia will increase its military spending by…
DECODING: Structural exhaustion — what the Kiel Institute report really says
The Kiel Institute — the Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW), based in Germany — is one of Europe's most reputable economic research…