Analysis
Pieces
ANALYSIS: Kim Jong-un and the destructive posture: why North Korea chooses calculated escalation
On June 25, 2026, according to ABC News, North Korean leader Kim Jong-un explicitly called on his armed forces to adopt a "destructive military…
DECODING: Sixty days to seal it all: the fragile roadmap between Washington and Tehran
Since June 21, 2026, a diplomatic clock has been ticking in Washington, in Tehran, and in the capitals holding their breath. Sixty days. That…
ANALYSIS: Hormuz, the strait that shakes the world: decoding the US-Iran $300-billion deal
The Strait of Hormuz. Twenty-one kilometres at its narrowest point. Two two-mile-wide shipping lanes. And yet this tiny passage between Iran and Oman represents…
DECODING: Tanks in the Streets of Taipei: the Five-Day Exercise Preparing the Island for the Unthinkable
Since June 22, 2026, Taiwan has transformed its urban arteries into combat corridors. Tanks, armored vehicles, columns of soldiers in combat gear have patrolled…
ANALYSIS: The 1260H list — how Beijing retaliates against Washington and arms the economic war for Taiwan
There are administrative documents that resemble declarations of war. The so-called "1260H list" — an inventory of companies designated by the U.S. Department of…
DECODING: Anchorage, Istanbul, MFA — decoding the Kremlin's three maximalist peace mantras
In diplomacy, words matter more than facts — at least for those who do not take the time to break them apart. Vladimir Putin…
ANALYSIS: Istanbul 2022, the trap — why Putin's peace is nothing but disguised capitulation
In diplomacy, ghosts are dangerous. They seem to offer a way out, a solution, a precedent to cling to. In June 2026, Vladimir Putin…
ANALYSIS: Russian bonds collapse — the debt market has already condemned the Kremlin's war
There are truths that missiles cannot tell, realities that Kremlin communiqués cannot mask, and verdicts that only money delivers with implacable coldness. The Russian…
DECODING: Structural Exhaustion: What the Kiel Institute Report Really Says About Russia's Economy
The Kiel Institute (IfW Kiel) is one of the most respected and widely cited economic institutes in Europe. Founded in 1914, it has earned…