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ANALYSIS: Trump-Xi Summit, a Facade of Stability — Taiwan, One Bargaining Chip Too Many
Analysis· No. 178

ANALYSIS: Trump-Xi Summit, a Facade of Stability — Taiwan, One Bargaining Chip Too Many

On May 14, 2026, Donald Trump landed in Beijing for the first state visit by an American president to China in nearly

ANALYSIS: Trump Admires "All Business" Xi — Flattery That Weakens the West
Analysis· No. 177

ANALYSIS: Trump Admires "All Business" Xi — Flattery That Weakens the West

On June 19 and 20, 2026, in an interview with Axios, American President Donald Trump uttered words that should have sent a

ANALYSIS: Sword 26 — NATO Is No Longer Deploying, It Is Training to Win
Analysis· No. 174

ANALYSIS: Sword 26 — NATO Is No Longer Deploying, It Is Training to Win

For five years, the flagship exercise of the U.S. Army in Europe was named DEFENDER — standing for Dynamic Employment of Forces

ANALYSIS: In the Baltic, the Russian Navy Plays in the Open—and NATO Grits Its Teeth
Analysis· No. 172

ANALYSIS: In the Baltic, the Russian Navy Plays in the Open—and NATO Grits Its Teeth

For decades, the Baltic Sea functioned as a semi-quiet backyard, a space of muffled but managed tensions. That time is over. Since

ANALYSIS: NATO 3.0 — How Rutte and Hegseth are Rebooting the Alliance for the Modern Age
Analysis· No. 170

ANALYSIS: NATO 3.0 — How Rutte and Hegseth are Rebooting the Alliance for the Modern Age

There are days that look like ordinary meetings and yet are anything but. On June 18, 2026, in Brussels, the Defense Ministers

ANALYSIS: 5% of GDP by 2035 — The Hague's Bet Put to the Test in Ankara
Analysis· No. 169

ANALYSIS: 5% of GDP by 2035 — The Hague's Bet Put to the Test in Ankara

On June 25, 2025, within the wood-paneled halls of the World Forum in The Hague, the 32 members of the Atlantic Alliance

ANALYSIS: Russian GDP Down 0.2% — A War Economy Running Out of Steam
Analysis· No. 165

ANALYSIS: Russian GDP Down 0.2% — A War Economy Running Out of Steam

On June 17, 2026, Rosstat — Russia's federal statistics service — confirmed its first estimate: Russia's gross domestic product fell by 0.2%

DECODED: SPIEF 2026 — Putin’s Forum, the Mirror of a Shrinking Russia
Analysis· No. 164

DECODED: SPIEF 2026 — Putin’s Forum, the Mirror of a Shrinking Russia

On June 3, 2026, as the first delegations arrived at Saint Petersburg's Expoforum for the 29th edition of the International Economic Forum

ANALYSIS: 1.3 Trillion Euros — The Real Cost of Sanctions for Russia According to Kallas
Analysis· No. 160

ANALYSIS: 1.3 Trillion Euros — The Real Cost of Sanctions for Russia According to Kallas

On June 15, 2026, during a press conference following the meeting of the European Union Foreign Affairs Council in Luxembourg, Kaja Kallas,

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