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Elections, power, public opinion: what still holds democracy up, and what is cracking it.
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DECODING: Kostyantynivka — How Moscow Manufactures Victories With AI and Lies
Analysis· No. 770

DECODING: Kostyantynivka — How Moscow Manufactures Victories With AI and Lies

On June 23, 2026, Russian President Vladimir Putin claimed during a public statement that Russian forces are advancing on all fronts and "practically reaching"…

COMMENTARY: Scarborough Shoal 2026 — Does the American Alliance Do Enough to Curb China in the Philippines?
Commentary· No. 767

COMMENTARY: Scarborough Shoal 2026 — Does the American Alliance Do Enough to Curb China in the Philippines?

In May 2026, Philippine authorities detected via satellite surveillance and maritime patrols a floating platform anchored inside the lagoon of Scarborough Shoal (Bajo de…

COMMENTARY: Trump governs by Truth Social posts — and it works, which is terrifying
Commentary· No. 761

COMMENTARY: Trump governs by Truth Social posts — and it works, which is terrifying

On Friday, June 26, 2026, in the late afternoon, United States President Donald Trump published a message on his Truth Social platform threatening to…

EDITORIAL: Beijing's grey-zone strategy in the South China Sea — a conquest without a declaration of war
Editorial· No. 760

EDITORIAL: Beijing's grey-zone strategy in the South China Sea — a conquest without a declaration of war

In June 2026, Philippine authorities published photographs of a new Chinese floating structure installed near Scarborough Shoal, an atoll claimed by both Beijing and…

COMMENTARY: Ukraine strikes Moscow where it hurts most — the economy and the prestige
Commentary· No. 755

COMMENTARY: Ukraine strikes Moscow where it hurts most — the economy and the prestige

In the night of June 17 to 18, 2026, nearly 200 Ukrainian drones targeted Moscow and its surrounding region, triggering one of the most…

COMMENTARY: Belarus is a co-belligerent — and NATO must finally admit it
Commentary· No. 747

COMMENTARY: Belarus is a co-belligerent — and NATO must finally admit it

On June 23, 2026, the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) published an assessment that deserves to be read as a statement of…

EDITORIAL: Vance vs. Trump on Iran — the rift at the top that weakens everything
Editorial· No. 745

EDITORIAL: Vance vs. Trump on Iran — the rift at the top that weakens everything

On June 22, 2026, as American and Iranian diplomats were negotiating at Bürgenstock, Switzerland, a deep fracture opened at the very heart of the…

COMMENTARY: €28.3 Billion for Weapons — Europe Has Finally Understood What Supporting Ukraine Means
Commentary· No. 740

COMMENTARY: €28.3 Billion for Weapons — Europe Has Finally Understood What Supporting Ukraine Means

On June 25, 2026, at the Ukraine Reconstruction Conference in Gdańsk, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen announced the first disbursement of €3.2…

COMMENTARY: Rubio "Frankly" — When American Blunt Diplomacy Rattles the Persian Gulf
Commentary· No. 731

COMMENTARY: Rubio "Frankly" — When American Blunt Diplomacy Rattles the Persian Gulf

Marco Rubio arrived in the Persian Gulf on June 24, 2026 with a clear mission, cutting rhetoric, and apparently little patience for the habitual…

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