Analysis
Pieces

ANALYSIS: Trump-Xi Summit, a Facade of Stability — Taiwan, One Bargaining Chip Too Many
On May 14, 2026, Donald Trump landed in Beijing for the first state visit by an American president to China in nearly

ANALYSIS: Trump Admires "All Business" Xi — Flattery That Weakens the West
On June 19 and 20, 2026, in an interview with Axios, American President Donald Trump uttered words that should have sent a

ANALYSIS: Sword 26 — NATO Is No Longer Deploying, It Is Training to Win
For five years, the flagship exercise of the U.S. Army in Europe was named DEFENDER — standing for Dynamic Employment of Forces

ANALYSIS: In the Baltic, the Russian Navy Plays in the Open—and NATO Grits Its Teeth
For decades, the Baltic Sea functioned as a semi-quiet backyard, a space of muffled but managed tensions. That time is over. Since

ANALYSIS: NATO 3.0 — How Rutte and Hegseth are Rebooting the Alliance for the Modern Age
There are days that look like ordinary meetings and yet are anything but. On June 18, 2026, in Brussels, the Defense Ministers

ANALYSIS: 5% of GDP by 2035 — The Hague's Bet Put to the Test in Ankara
On June 25, 2025, within the wood-paneled halls of the World Forum in The Hague, the 32 members of the Atlantic Alliance

ANALYSIS: Russian GDP Down 0.2% — A War Economy Running Out of Steam
On June 17, 2026, Rosstat — Russia's federal statistics service — confirmed its first estimate: Russia's gross domestic product fell by 0.2%

DECODED: SPIEF 2026 — Putin’s Forum, the Mirror of a Shrinking Russia
On June 3, 2026, as the first delegations arrived at Saint Petersburg's Expoforum for the 29th edition of the International Economic Forum

ANALYSIS: 1.3 Trillion Euros — The Real Cost of Sanctions for Russia According to Kallas
On June 15, 2026, during a press conference following the meeting of the European Union Foreign Affairs Council in Luxembourg, Kaja Kallas,