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Ukraine

The front, military signals, political decisions, and what they actually change.
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EDITORIAL: Peskov names the “price” Ukraine will pay. Arm its sky before Putin’s spring
Editorial· No. 5479

EDITORIAL: Peskov names the “price” Ukraine will pay. Arm its sky before Putin’s spring

On September 28, speaking in Moscow, Dmitry Peskov warned that Ukraine would have to “pay a price for the actions that have taken place…

FACT CHECK: Zelensky is right about Lyman, but his 10,660 Russian casualties remain unverifiable
Analysis· No. 5459

FACT CHECK: Zelensky is right about Lyman, but his 10,660 Russian casualties remain unverifiable

Volodymyr Zelensky said on September 27 that the Ukrainian army had put 10,660 Russian soldiers out of action in one week. On Lyman, he…

EDITORIAL: Trump wants Russian refineries spared, and Kyiv must hold its cards while the Kremlin refuses
Editorial· No. 5458

EDITORIAL: Trump wants Russian refineries spared, and Kyiv must hold its cards while the Kremlin refuses

Donald Trump told reporters on September 27 that he had asked Volodymyr Zelensky to “take it easy” on Russian refineries. We say no.

COMMENTARY: Moscow hits Kyivstar three times in September, and targets the phone that warns
Commentary· No. 5456

COMMENTARY: Moscow hits Kyivstar three times in September, and targets the phone that warns

Kyivstar, Ukraine’s largest mobile operator, was hit three times in September: its engineering team’s office in Kyiv on the 11th, a building housing its…

ANALYSIS: 100 strikes on warehouses since June, and Moscow takes its war to Kyiv’s shelves
Analysis· No. 5454

ANALYSIS: 100 strikes on warehouses since June, and Moscow takes its war to Kyiv’s shelves

ACLED has recorded about 100 Russian strikes, or series of strikes, on civilian warehouses in the Kyiv region since mid-June, against around 50 between…

FIELD REPORT: In Sumy, the Kremlin’s bombs shatter a refuge for child victims of violence
Reportage· No. 5453

FIELD REPORT: In Sumy, the Kremlin’s bombs shatter a refuge for child victims of violence

When the Barnahus in Sumy opened in December 2023, the regional council had set out toys, candy and tea; on Sunday, September 27, Russian…

EXPLAINER: Mishustin withholds the military figure; Kyiv reads US$12 billion for jet drones
Analysis· No. 5451

EXPLAINER: Mishustin withholds the military figure; Kyiv reads US$12 billion for jet drones

The draft budget the Russian government approved on September 24 shows no amount for the military.

ANALYSIS: Copenhagen fears a limited Russian strike, and Moscow decorated the Gedser commander
Analysis· No. 5450

ANALYSIS: Copenhagen fears a limited Russian strike, and Moscow decorated the Gedser commander

On September 24, Danish military intelligence wrote that Moscow could strike a NATO country bordering Russia “in the coming months.”

ANALYSIS: November 3 would time Trump’s strikes on Iran, and Tehran reads the same calendar
Analysis· No. 5448

ANALYSIS: November 3 would time Trump’s strikes on Iran, and Tehran reads the same calendar

On NBC, on September 27, Mike Waltz insisted that when it comes to the war against Iran, “politics have nothing to do with this.”…

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