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Russia

The Kremlin, the war, power balances, and the fractures rising to the surface.
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REPORT: Shadow Guides — How the SBU Dismantles Russia's Strike Spotter Network
Reportage· No. 487

REPORT: Shadow Guides — How the SBU Dismantles Russia's Strike Spotter Network

There is a parallel war to the one that ISW maps and daily casualty reports document. It unfolds not at Kostiantynivka or

DECODING: 16 Refineries in May — How Ukraine Burns Russia's War Machine
Analysis· No. 486

DECODING: 16 Refineries in May — How Ukraine Burns Russia's War Machine

Sixteen Russian refineries struck in a single month — May 2026. Among them, 8 of the 10 largest in Russia. This is

ESSAY: Konstantynivka Burns — and Russia Advances, Block by Block
Essay· No. 481

ESSAY: Konstantynivka Burns — and Russia Advances, Block by Block

Some figures do not lie. Fifty-six combat engagements recorded in a single day on the Ukrainian front — nine simultaneously active sectors

PROFILE: Putin facing the mirror — he admits Ukraine's impact and denies his own economy
Profile· No. 479

PROFILE: Putin facing the mirror — he admits Ukraine's impact and denies his own economy

On June 23, 2026, Vladimir Putin spoke words that no one in his circle would have imagined hearing eighteen months earlier. He

INVESTIGATION: 60,000 tons of ammunition destroyed at the heart of Russia's Baltic Fleet logistics
Investigation· No. 475

INVESTIGATION: 60,000 tons of ammunition destroyed at the heart of Russia's Baltic Fleet logistics

On June 24, 2026, President Zelensky confirmed one of the most audacious strikes of the entire war: deep operations on Russian territory

DECODING: 200 drones over Moscow — the night that erased the idea of an untouchable Russia
Analysis· No. 473

DECODING: 200 drones over Moscow — the night that erased the idea of an untouchable Russia

Some nights shift the coordinates of history. The night of June 17 to 18, 2026 is one of them. Ukraine launched nearly

ANALYSIS: Moscow's Kapotnya refinery offline until 2027 — Ukraine strikes at the heart of Russia's war economy
Analysis· No. 472

ANALYSIS: Moscow's Kapotnya refinery offline until 2027 — Ukraine strikes at the heart of Russia's war economy

On June 16 and 18, 2026, Ukraine struck the Kapotnya refinery — Moscow's largest — with a precision and persistence that left

DECODING: RUSSIAN REFINERIES ON FIRE — KYIV STRIKES PUTIN'S OIL ARTERY
Analysis· No. 449

DECODING: RUSSIAN REFINERIES ON FIRE — KYIV STRIKES PUTIN'S OIL ARTERY

In June 2026, something changed in the nature of this war — not on the Kostiantynivka front, not in the diplomatic negotiations around the…

ANALYSIS: LAVROV AT THE G7 — RUSSIA IS SEARCHING FOR WHAT TRUMP REALLY PROMISED IT
Analysis· No. 447

ANALYSIS: LAVROV AT THE G7 — RUSSIA IS SEARCHING FOR WHAT TRUMP REALLY PROMISED IT

On June 24, 2026, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov made a statement that reveals less Moscow's strength than its disarray. "We are trying to…

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