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Russia

The Kremlin, the war, power balances, and the fractures rising to the surface.
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ANALYSIS: Refineries offline: Kyiv dries up the fuel of the war
Analysis· No. 1044

ANALYSIS: Refineries offline: Kyiv dries up the fuel of the war

Vladimir Putin's war machine runs on oil. Not metaphorically — literally. Oil and gas revenues accounted for an estimated 40 to 50 percent of…

COMMENTARY: Putin threatens Europe: the rhetoric of fear
Commentary· No. 1043

COMMENTARY: Putin threatens Europe: the rhetoric of fear

Vladimir Putin does not threaten by accident. Every speech, every statement, every ambiguous signal sent to Europe is the product of a precise political…

DECODING: Flamingo over Volgograd: the new reach of Ukrainian missiles
Analysis· No. 1041

DECODING: Flamingo over Volgograd: the new reach of Ukrainian missiles

In June 2026, the Ukrainian military struck a defense plant in Volgograd — formerly Stalingrad, symbol of Russian resistance — with FP-5 Flamingo missiles.…

ANALYSIS: The axis of aggressors: a single front against the West?
Analysis· No. 1037

ANALYSIS: The axis of aggressors: a single front against the West?

The expression «axis of aggressors» is not rhetorical metaphor. It is a documented geopolitical reality, identified by analysts at the Foundation for Defense of…

ANALYSIS: France and Italy put the brakes on Europe: the new crack that delights Putin
Analysis· No. 1035

ANALYSIS: France and Italy put the brakes on Europe: the new crack that delights Putin

The European Union wanted to ban former Russian soldiers who fought in Ukraine from entering its territory. An elementary precaution, some will say —…

DECODING: Submarines and electronic warfare: Moscow arms Pyongyang to the teeth
Analysis· No. 1033

DECODING: Submarines and electronic warfare: Moscow arms Pyongyang to the teeth

When Vladimir Putin and Kim Jong-un signed their mutual defense treaty in June 2024, many Western analysts shrugged. A dictator running on fumes, they…

DECODING: SVR Accuses Latvia — Moscow Fabricates Its Pretext
Analysis· No. 1029

DECODING: SVR Accuses Latvia — Moscow Fabricates Its Pretext

On June 24, 2026, Polish Foreign Minister Radosław Sikorski posted a chilling warning on X: Vladimir Putin's statements about possible retaliatory strikes against European…

OPINION: 40% of Russia's Budget to War — A People Sacrificed
Note· No. 1028

OPINION: 40% of Russia's Budget to War — A People Sacrificed

Some numbers resist abstraction. 40 percent. That is the share of the Russian federal budget allocated in 2026 to defense and security — or…

ANALYSIS: +5 Trillion Rubles — The Bet of a Spent Russian Economy
Analysis· No. 1027

ANALYSIS: +5 Trillion Rubles — The Bet of a Spent Russian Economy

On June 18, 2026, Bloomberg News published a report that traveled through trading floors and chancelleries like a shockwave: Russia plans to increase its…

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