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ANALYSIS: Kapotnya, the Heart of Moscow — 40% of the Capital's Fuel Targeted
On June 16, 2026, long-range Ukrainian drones pierced several rings of air defense and struck the ELOU-AVT-6 primary distillation unit of the
ANALYSIS: One-Third of Russian Refining Offline — The Arithmetic of Collapsing Fuel
Less than 4 million barrels per day. This is the threshold that Russian refining crossed downward for the first time in 21
ANALYSIS: Hlibivske — How Crimea's Only Gas Storage Facility Caught Fire
On the night of June 19 to 20, 2026, something extraordinary happened on the Tarkhankut Peninsula, on the far western edge of
COLUMN: Putin Rejects Peace — the West Must Hold or Lose Everything
On June 5, 2026, before cameras from around the world gathered at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, Vladimir Putin pronounced the words many…
BREAKDOWN: China at Scarborough Shoal — Platform Installed and Removed in 3 Weeks, Victory or Test?
On May 25, 2026, commercial satellite imagery captured a reflective square object inside the Scarborough Shoal lagoon. Three weeks later, it was gone —…
ANALYSIS: Georgia, Arizona — Trump's Endorsement Machine Stalls in the Republican Primaries
For years, a Trump endorsement was a guaranteed win in any Republican primary. The June 2026 primary season is changing that calculus — a…
BREAKDOWN: DRC — Tshisekedi Moves to Rewrite the Constitution for a Third Term, With the M23 Crisis as Cover
On June 15, 2026, the DRC Senate unanimously passed a bill enabling a constitutional referendum. Behind the procedural language: a blueprint for Felix Tshisekedi…
BREAKDOWN: Pokrovsk — 204 Engagements in One Day, the Permanent Hell of the Ukrainian Front
204 combat engagements in a single day. That is the June 18, 2026 toll on the Ukrainian front, per the Armed Forces General Staff.…
ANALYSIS: Hegseth Conditions NATO Contributions on Ally Spending — A Funding Revolution
On June 18, 2026, Pete Hegseth announced that US annual NATO contributions would be tied to allies' defense spending — rewriting the financial architecture…