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Economy

Tariffs, debt, inflation, and markets: who pays the bill, and when.
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329 pieces
PROFILE: Putin's Russia — A War Economy Devouring Its Own Future in Q1 2026
Profile· No. 1546

PROFILE: Putin's Russia — A War Economy Devouring Its Own Future in Q1 2026

In the first quarter of 2026, Russia devoted 5.9 trillion rubles — approximately $81.4 billion — to military spending. That figure represents 46% of…

INVESTIGATION: Russia's War Economy Reaches Its Limits — What the Kiel Report Says
Investigation· No. 1545

INVESTIGATION: Russia's War Economy Reaches Its Limits — What the Kiel Report Says

Since 2022, one narrative has dominated discussions about Russia's economic resilience: Putin is holding, the sanctions are not working, the ruble is surviving, Russia's…

REPORT: Ukraine's economy contracts for the first time since the wartime recovery began
Reportage· No. 1542

REPORT: Ukraine's economy contracts for the first time since the wartime recovery began

The National Bank of Ukraine confirmed on June 18, 2026: Ukraine's real GDP declined by 0.6% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2026 —…

INVESTIGATION: Putin at SPIEF Champions the Anchorage "Compromise" — But Conditions Remain Unacceptable
Investigation· No. 1518

INVESTIGATION: Putin at SPIEF Champions the Anchorage "Compromise" — But Conditions Remain Unacceptable

Each year, the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) gives Vladimir Putin a domestic stage to address Russian economic elites and the foreign partners…

NARRATIVE: Europe Extends Sanctions — One More Year to Strangle Putin's Economy
Reportage· No. 1509

NARRATIVE: Europe Extends Sanctions — One More Year to Strangle Putin's Economy

On June 25, 2026, the Council of the European Union extended economic sanctions against Russia by one year. They will remain in force until…

COMMENTARY: The USA-Ukraine minerals agreement — the 2025 promise vs. 2026 reality
Commentary· No. 1503

COMMENTARY: The USA-Ukraine minerals agreement — the 2025 promise vs. 2026 reality

On April 30, 2025, the United States and Ukraine signed a minerals agreement that was presented by both governments as a landmark in their…

NARRATIVE: Poland and Germany sign historic defense agreement — Europe rearms in fast-forward
Reportage· No. 1495

NARRATIVE: Poland and Germany sign historic defense agreement — Europe rearms in fast-forward

On June 17, 2026, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz and Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk signed a bilateral defense pact that European security analysts had…

DECODING: Ukraine Strikes Saint Petersburg at Putin's Forum — Message Received
Analysis· No. 1464

DECODING: Ukraine Strikes Saint Petersburg at Putin's Forum — Message Received

On the night of June 6–7, 2026, Ukraine launched hundreds of drones against Russian territory, targeting several regions — most notably Saint Petersburg, Vladimir…

NARRATIVE: The Day Putin Admitted — Ukrainian Strikes "Are Damaging the Russian Economy"
Reportage· No. 1460

NARRATIVE: The Day Putin Admitted — Ukrainian Strikes "Are Damaging the Russian Economy"

Vladimir Putin's words during the Kremlin videoconference on Tuesday, June 24, 2026 made their way around the world's military and political newsrooms within hours.…

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