Analysis
Pieces
ANALYSIS: Hungary Is No Longer Alone — The New Geometry of European Blockades
Ever since Viktor Orbán turned Hungary into the European Union's principal institutional sparring partner, the image had crystallized: one holdout against twenty-six. That comforting…
DECODING: Russian technology transfers to Pyongyang — submarines, air defense, and electronic warfare
Since the start of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, the world has learned to document the arms flows between Moscow and…
ANALYSIS: Vance and the Iran deal "foundation" — cautious optimism or strategic blindness?
The world held its breath in mid-June 2026. The United States and Iran initialed a 14-point memorandum of understanding aimed at ending the armed…
DECODING: The Chinese Coast Guard Legalizes Boarding: Taiwan in the Legal Vise
Since June 1, 2026, a flotilla from the Chinese Coast Guard (CCG) has been patrolling almost continuously in the waters east of Taiwan's main…
ANALYSIS: Ukrainian Drones vs. Russian Air Defense: The Technological War Tilts
The night of June 25-26, 2026. The Russian Ministry of Defense proudly announced having intercepted 660 Ukrainian drones in a single night — the…
ANALYSIS: Zelensky's Peace Window: Why Winter 2026 Is the Deadline
On May 31, 2026, in an interview with CBS News, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky articulated with unprecedented clarity what his advisers have been whispering…
ANALYSIS: Russian GDP Contracts — -0.2% and the Illusion of War-Fuelled Growth
In May 2026, the world learned what economists and pro-Ukraine analysts had been expecting for months: the Russian economy has officially contracted. -0.2% in…
ANALYSIS: Russia +5 Trillion Rubles for War — The Bet of an Economy at Breaking Point
Imagine a country that spends 46% of its federal budget in a single quarter on its military and security forces, while its revenues cover…
DECODING: 210 Strikes in May, 28 on Oil — The Arithmetic of the Deep-Strike Campaign
There are moments when military figures are not mere data points — they tell a strategy. 210 confirmed intermediate strikes in May 2026, 145…