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Russia

The Kremlin, the war, power balances, and the fractures rising to the surface.
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FACT-CHECK: The Belarusian School Bus — Moscow Accuses, Kyiv Denies, What Does the Evidence Say?
Analysis· No. 139

FACT-CHECK: The Belarusian School Bus — Moscow Accuses, Kyiv Denies, What Does the Evidence Say?

On June 17, 2026, on the A-240 highway in the Potioptchi district of the Bryansk region of Russia, a double-decker bus was

TESTIMONY: Kharkiv, double-tap — when the rescuer becomes the target
Profile· No. 137

TESTIMONY: Kharkiv, double-tap — when the rescuer becomes the target

On the night of June 14 to 15, 2026, Russia did not commit a firing error. It did not miss a military

ANALYSIS: Middle strike — the Ukrainian doctrine transforming Russia's logistics war
Analysis· No. 135

ANALYSIS: Middle strike — the Ukrainian doctrine transforming Russia's logistics war

There is a moment in every conflict when a military innovation stops being just another tool and becomes the pivot of the

ANALYSIS: Kapotnya, the Heart of Moscow — 40% of the Capital's Fuel Targeted
Analysis· No. 134

ANALYSIS: Kapotnya, the Heart of Moscow — 40% of the Capital's Fuel Targeted

On June 16, 2026, long-range Ukrainian drones pierced several rings of air defense and struck the ELOU-AVT-6 primary distillation unit of the

EDITORIAL: Kapotnya in Flames — Moscow Reaps What It Sowed in Energy Hell
Editorial· No. 132

EDITORIAL: Kapotnya in Flames — Moscow Reaps What It Sowed in Energy Hell

At dawn on June 16, 2026, columns of thick black smoke rose over the Kapotnya district in southeast Moscow. The Moscow oil

COMMENTARY: Tver rations gasoline — when war returns to Russian gas stations
Commentary· No. 131

COMMENTARY: Tver rations gasoline — when war returns to Russian gas stations

On June 20, 2026, in the Tver region, a few hundred miles northwest of Moscow, gas stations belonging to Surgutneftegaz and Tatneft

INVESTIGATION: Belarus, Putin’s Secret Gas Station — 270,000 Tons Headed to Russia
Investigation· No. 130

INVESTIGATION: Belarus, Putin’s Secret Gas Station — 270,000 Tons Headed to Russia

From January to May 2026, railway exports of Belarusian gasoline to Russia jumped nearly thirteen-fold year-on-year, reaching 270,000 tons. Diesel, for its

REPORT: Tyumen, 2,000 km — The Ukrainian Drone That Struck the Deepest Reaches of Siberia
Reportage· No. 127

REPORT: Tyumen, 2,000 km — The Ukrainian Drone That Struck the Deepest Reaches of Siberia

On June 20, 2026, somewhere in Russian Western Siberia, a column of black smoke rose above the Tyumen refinery—formerly known as the

COLUMN: Putin Rejects Peace — the West Must Hold or Lose Everything
Column· No. 126

COLUMN: Putin Rejects Peace — the West Must Hold or Lose Everything

On June 5, 2026, before cameras from around the world gathered at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, Vladimir Putin pronounced the words many…

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