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Russia

The Kremlin, the war, power balances, and the fractures rising to the surface.
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DECODING: Samara Under Drones, Russia's Strategic Depth Now Under FireAI-generated
Analysis· No. 3577

DECODING: Samara Under Drones, Russia's Strategic Depth Now Under Fire

Some maps no longer lie. On the night of July 11-12, 2026, Ukrainian drones struck the Syzran refinery in Samara oblast, more than 800…

FACT-CHECK: Putin Claims Kostiantynivka Captured, Ukraine's General Staff Denies ItAI-generated
Analysis· No. 3573

FACT-CHECK: Putin Claims Kostiantynivka Captured, Ukraine's General Staff Denies It

Some announcements are made to inform. Others are made to be believed, whether or not they are true. On July 3, 2026, Russian Chief…

DECODING: ISW dissects Russia's July 8 offensive, and finds no real breakthroughAI-generated
Analysis· No. 3564

DECODING: ISW dissects Russia's July 8 offensive, and finds no real breakthrough

Since Russia launched its full-scale invasion in February 2022, the Institute for the Study of War, based in Washington, has published a detailed assessment…

FACT-CHECK: The Refinery War, How Ukraine Is Hitting Russia's Economic NerveAI-generated
Analysis· No. 3561

FACT-CHECK: The Refinery War, How Ukraine Is Hitting Russia's Economic Nerve

For several months, Ukraine has run a systematic campaign of drone strikes against Russian oil refineries, a strategy that directly targets the economic nerve…

INVESTIGATION: Kostiantynivka, the City Putin Claims to Hold Without Ever Holding ItAI-generated
Investigation· No. 3558

INVESTIGATION: Kostiantynivka, the City Putin Claims to Hold Without Ever Holding It

There are military claims that even the most obedient allies of Russian power eventually can't repeat without wincing. Kostiantynivka has become the clearest example…

ANALYSIS: Pokrovsk, the City Moscow Never Finishes TakingAI-generated
Analysis· No. 3557

ANALYSIS: Pokrovsk, the City Moscow Never Finishes Taking

There are city names that, over months of war, turn into barometers. Pokrovsk is one of them. Since the summer of 2025, this crossroads…

COLUMN: Syzran Burns a Third Time, and Moscow Still Says Nothing
Column· No. 3556

COLUMN: Syzran Burns a Third Time, and Moscow Still Says Nothing

On the night of July 11 to 12, 2026, Ukrainian drones once again struck the Syzran refinery in the Samara region, more than eight…

ANALYSIS: NATO's $1.8 Trillion, the Real Price of Deterring PutinAI-generated
Analysis· No. 3555

ANALYSIS: NATO's $1.8 Trillion, the Real Price of Deterring Putin

Combined defense spending across the thirty-two NATO member states surpassed, in 2026, the 1.8 trillion dollar mark, according to projections confirmed in early July…

PROFILE: Beijing and Moscow, the face of an axis that no longer hidesAI-generated
Profile· No. 3516

PROFILE: Beijing and Moscow, the face of an axis that no longer hides

There are weeks when geopolitics stops hiding behind cautious communiqués. The week of July 6 to 13, 2026, is one of them.

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