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ANALYSIS: Russia's shell industry, one month on, a cold read
A number surfaced at the end of February 2026 and has barely left the conversation among military analysts since: Russian shell production is now…
PORTRAIT: field notes on jet fuel that vanished from the shelves
On June 1, 2026, the Moscow Times reported that a ban on exporting Russian jet fuel had just taken effect, extended through the end…
COMMENTARY: Russia Bans Its Diesel Exports, the Questions Few Are Asking
On July 8, 2026, Reuters confirmed that a Russian deputy prime minister had just announced a ban on diesel exports for the entire month…
INVESTIGATION: Western Sanctions, What the Numbers Actually Confirm
On October 22, 2025, the U.S. Treasury sanctioned Rosneft and Lukoil, Russia's two largest oil companies, a decision presented at the time as a…
REPORT: A Third of Russian Refining Capacity Is Offline, and the Context Everyone Forgets
The figure is enough to surprise even the most attentive observers of this conflict: roughly a third of Russia's refining capacity is now offline,…
DECODING: the Kremlin and the diplomacy of waiting in three parts
On June 18, 2026, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky called on Russia to take concrete diplomatic steps to end the war, according to a report…
PORTRAIT: Putin Facing His Own Price Cap, a Strategic Reading
On June 26, 2026, Vladimir Putin signed a decree extending a measure through the end of 2027, according to Interfax. This seemingly technical gesture…
COMMENTARY: A Status Check on Russia's Shadow Fleet
In seventy-two hours, in early July 2026, Ukraine claimed strikes against 21 vessels, including 19 tankers, near occupied Crimea, according to reporting by Fox…
EDITORIAL: Why Omsk Going Offline Matters More Than It Looks
On July 6, 2026, Ukrainian drones struck the Omsk refinery, Russia's largest, in what Reuters and CNBC described the following day as the deepest…