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ANALYSIS: The Pentagon locks in a historic $1.01 trillion budget
A single number captures the scale of the American budget shift for fiscal year 2026: $1.01 trillion. That is the total Pentagon budget for…
FACT CHECK: Philippine fishermen versus Chinese coast guard, what the record confirms
Ten years after an international arbitral ruling favorable to the Philippines, does the reality on the water still match what local fishermen describe? This…
COLUMN: seven nations, between rhetoric and reality
Seventeen thousand soldiers. Seven countries. One month of joint military exercises. The numbers behind Balikatan 2026 impress on paper, but this column sets out…
ANALYSIS: Balikatan 2026, a cold read one month after the exercise
A month after the exercise wrapped up, it becomes possible to judge Balikatan 2026 without being distracted by the noise of official statements issued…
FACT CHECK: Manila sanctioned, five numbers to verify before commenting
On June 11, 2026, Beijing barred Philippine Defense Secretary Gilberto Teodoro from entering its territory, according to Al Jazeera.
COLUMN: what China's slowing military budget reveals about the balance of power
People have often asked me, these past few weeks, what to really make of the 2026 Chinese defense budget. Set at 1.94 trillion yuan,…
DECODING: $282 billion, between rhetoric and reality
A single figure, $282 billion, now serves as shorthand for describing Chinese military ambition in 2026. But this shorthand, as is often the case…
ANALYSIS: Seven nations, one message to Beijing
Seventeen thousand troops, seven nations, one implicit message aimed at Beijing: that is the first takeaway from the Balikatan 2026 exercise, held in the…
FACT CHECK: Two new Type 055 destroyers for the Chinese navy, a strategic reading
In early 2026, according to IDSA, the Chinese navy commissioned two new Type 055-class destroyers, the Dongguan and the Anqing.