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ANALYSIS: 5% of GDP by 2035 — The Hague's Bet Put to the Test in Ankara
Analysis· No. 169

ANALYSIS: 5% of GDP by 2035 — The Hague's Bet Put to the Test in Ankara

On June 25, 2025, within the wood-paneled halls of the World Forum in The Hague, the 32 members of the Atlantic Alliance

ANALYSIS: Russian GDP Down 0.2% — A War Economy Running Out of Steam
Analysis· No. 165

ANALYSIS: Russian GDP Down 0.2% — A War Economy Running Out of Steam

On June 17, 2026, Rosstat — Russia's federal statistics service — confirmed its first estimate: Russia's gross domestic product fell by 0.2%

DECODED: SPIEF 2026 — Putin’s Forum, the Mirror of a Shrinking Russia
Analysis· No. 164

DECODED: SPIEF 2026 — Putin’s Forum, the Mirror of a Shrinking Russia

On June 3, 2026, as the first delegations arrived at Saint Petersburg's Expoforum for the 29th edition of the International Economic Forum

ANALYSIS: 1.3 Trillion Euros — The Real Cost of Sanctions for Russia According to Kallas
Analysis· No. 160

ANALYSIS: 1.3 Trillion Euros — The Real Cost of Sanctions for Russia According to Kallas

On June 15, 2026, during a press conference following the meeting of the European Union Foreign Affairs Council in Luxembourg, Kaja Kallas,

ANALYSIS: 81 New Targets — The EU Strikes the Shadow Fleet and Propagandists
Analysis· No. 159

ANALYSIS: 81 New Targets — The EU Strikes the Shadow Fleet and Propagandists

On June 15, 2026, the Council of the European Union adopted a new package of restrictive measures against Russia. Not the grand

ANALYSIS: Kharkiv Pounded — Guided Bombs on 40 Houses, 9 Injured Including 4 Children
Analysis· No. 157

ANALYSIS: Kharkiv Pounded — Guided Bombs on 40 Houses, 9 Injured Including 4 Children

In the night of June 18-19, 2026, around 3:30 AM Kyiv time, the Russian army dropped guided aerial bombs — the notorious

ANALYSIS: Lyman, the Unrelenting Pressure — Between 10 and 23 Repeated Assaults per Day
Analysis· No. 155

ANALYSIS: Lyman, the Unrelenting Pressure — Between 10 and 23 Repeated Assaults per Day

Since mid-June 2026, the Lyman sector in eastern Donbas has turned into one of the deadliest points on the entire Ukrainian frontline.

COLUMN: 157 to 248 Battles a Day — the Permanent, Quantified Hell of the Ukrainian Front
Column· No. 154

COLUMN: 157 to 248 Battles a Day — the Permanent, Quantified Hell of the Ukrainian Front

Every morning, between 8:00 AM and 10:00 AM Kyiv time, the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine publishes its daily

ANALYSIS: Pokrovsk-Dobropillia — The Russian Logistic Maneuver Toward Rodynske and Bilytske
Analysis· No. 152

ANALYSIS: Pokrovsk-Dobropillia — The Russian Logistic Maneuver Toward Rodynske and Bilytske

Since mid-June 2026, analysts from the DeepState group have been sounding the alarm on a movement that most observers risk underestimating: Russian

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