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Analysis· No. 1095

ANALYSIS: The Refinery War: How Ukraine Is Turning Russian Oil Into an Achilles' Heel

On June 25, 2026, Ukrainian drones traveled more than 1,300 kilometers to strike the Bashneft refineries in Ufa, in the Bashkortostan region, hitting two…

Analysis· No. 1094

DECODING: Two Years of the Moscow-Pyongyang Treaty: the Axis of Authoritarians Fueling War in Europe

On June 22, 2026, North Korea marked the second anniversary of the mutual defense treaty with Russia, signed with great ceremony in Pyongyang during…

Analysis· No. 1092

ANALYSIS: Kim Jong-un and the destructive posture: why North Korea chooses calculated escalation

On June 25, 2026, according to ABC News, North Korean leader Kim Jong-un explicitly called on his armed forces to adopt a "destructive military…

Analysis· No. 1089

DECODING: Sixty days to seal it all: the fragile roadmap between Washington and Tehran

Since June 21, 2026, a diplomatic clock has been ticking in Washington, in Tehran, and in the capitals holding their breath. Sixty days. That…

Analysis· No. 1088

ANALYSIS: Hormuz, the strait that shakes the world: decoding the US-Iran $300-billion deal

The Strait of Hormuz. Twenty-one kilometres at its narrowest point. Two two-mile-wide shipping lanes. And yet this tiny passage between Iran and Oman represents…

Analysis· No. 1084

DECODING: Tanks in the Streets of Taipei: the Five-Day Exercise Preparing the Island for the Unthinkable

Since June 22, 2026, Taiwan has transformed its urban arteries into combat corridors. Tanks, armored vehicles, columns of soldiers in combat gear have patrolled…

Analysis· No. 1083

ANALYSIS: The 1260H list — how Beijing retaliates against Washington and arms the economic war for Taiwan

There are administrative documents that resemble declarations of war. The so-called "1260H list" — an inventory of companies designated by the U.S. Department of…

Analysis· No. 1079

DECODING: Anchorage, Istanbul, MFA — decoding the Kremlin's three maximalist peace mantras

In diplomacy, words matter more than facts — at least for those who do not take the time to break them apart. Vladimir Putin…

Analysis· No. 1078

ANALYSIS: Istanbul 2022, the trap — why Putin's peace is nothing but disguised capitulation

In diplomacy, ghosts are dangerous. They seem to offer a way out, a solution, a precedent to cling to. In June 2026, Vladimir Putin…

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